Weathering The Storm

Author: James Fleming
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1935704052
Size: 72.77 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
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This book presents the memoirs of Sverre Pettersen, prominent leader in the field of meteorology. Delving through his recollections of his childhood in Norway, education and work at the famous Bergen school of Meteorology to the World War II crisis and D-Day, Petterssen uncovers the history of meteorology, documenting it from his perspective. Meteorology today is the beneficiary of his work.

Forecast For D Day

Author: John Ross
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 149300848X
Size: 76.68 MB
Format: PDF
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The weather story of D-Day in which the invasion's success hinged on the correct gauge of the weather for the crossing of the British Channel; the story of the man Eisenhower trusted with choosing the best day to invade, despite contrary opionions from more senior weather experts.

Fatal Forecast

Author: Michael J. Tougias
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 0743297040
Size: 79.19 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Chronicles the dramatic true account of the crews of the fishing vessels Fair Wind and Sea Fever, who in 1980 were caught by a deadly Cape Cod storm that resulted in a tenacious three-day struggle for survival. Reprint.

Superforecasting

Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: Crown
ISBN: 080413670X
Size: 22.82 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
View: 4994
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A New York Times Bestseller An Economist Best Book of 2015 "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow." —Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic. From the Hardcover edition.

Global Warming

Author: David Archer
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470943416
Size: 62.86 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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Archer's Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast 2nd Edition, is the first real text to present the science and policy surrounding climate change at the right level. Accompanying videos, simulations and instructional support makes it easier to build a syllabus to improve and create new material on climate change. Archer's polished writing style makes the text entertaining while the improved pedagogy helps better understand key concepts, ideas and terms. This edition has been revised and reformulated with a new chapter template of short chapter introductions, study questions at the end, and critical thinking puzzlers throughout. Also a new asset for the BCS was created that will give ideas for assignments and topics for essays and other projects. Furthermore, a number of interactive models have been built to help understand the science and systems behind the processes.

The Signal And The Noise

Author: Nate Silver
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0143125087
Size: 30.44 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how readers can distinguish true signals from hype, in a report that also reveals the sources and societal costs of wrongful predictions.

D Day

Author: Jonathan Mayo
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1476772959
Size: 51.72 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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Told in a purely chronological style, this fascinating account vividly details the authentic stories of regular people caught up in the historical events of D-Day. June 6, 1944 was a truly historic day, but it was also a day where ordinary people found themselves in extraordinary situations... Lieutenant Norman Poole jumped from a bomber surrounded by two hundred decoy dummy parachutists. French baker Pierre Cardron led British paratroopers to his local church, where he knew two German soldiers were hiding in the confessional. Southampton telegram boy Tom Hiett delivered his first “death message” by midday. At the sound of Allied aircraft, Werner Kortenhaus of the twenty-first Panzer Division ran to collect his still damp washing from a French laundrywoman. And injured soldiers wept in their beds in a New York hospital, knowing that their buddies lay dying on the Normandy beaches. Drawing on memoirs, diaries, letters, and oral accounts, D-Day is a purely chronological narrative, concerned less with the military strategies and more with what people were thinking and doing as D-Day unfolded, minute-by-minute. Moving seamlessly from various perspectives and stories, D-Day sets the reader in the midst of it all, compelling us to relive this momentous day in world history.

Instant Weather Forecasting

Author: Alan Watts
Publisher: A&C Black
ISBN: 1408107791
Size: 45.77 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Instant Weather Forecasting has been a perennial bestseller since it was first published nearly 40 years ago. A brilliant concept, its winning formula of 24 colour photographs of cloud formations and their accompanying explanatory text enables the reader to read the sky, pick up the clues, and predict what the weather will do. With a revised and updated text, along with new colour photographs and diagrams, this bestselling gem of a book will be invaluable to anyone participating in outdoor activities, from farming, gardening and walking to riding, golfing, flying, sailing and fishing - and of course holidaymakers. 'Excellent value and a good cockpit companion' Classic Boat 'A surefire bestseller' The Yachtsman 'Another gem that's a dog-eared favourite' Coastal Cruising 'A handy and information-packed little volume' Birdwatch

The Bedford Boys

Author: Alex Kershaw
Publisher: Da Capo Press
ISBN: 0306817780
Size: 58.25 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
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June 6, 1944: Nineteen boys from Bedford, Virginia--population just 3,000 in 1944--died in the first bloody minutes of D-Day. They were part of Company A of the 116th Regiment of the 29th Division, and the first wave of American soldiers to hit the beaches in Normandy. Later in the campaign, three more boys from this small Virginia town died of gunshot wounds. Twenty-two sons of Bedford lost--it is a story one cannot easily forget and one that the families of Bedford will never forget. The Bedford Boys is the true and intimate story of these men and the friends and families they left behind.Based on extensive interviews with survivors and relatives, as well as diaries and letters, Kershaw's book focuses on several remarkable individuals and families to tell one of the most poignant stories of World War II--the story of one small American town that went to war and died on Omaha Beach.

Forecast

Author: Mark Buchanan
Publisher: A&C Black
ISBN: 1408827379
Size: 79.93 MB
Format: PDF
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A groundbreaking book that uses physics to show how instability is inherent in economic markets, just as thunderstorms are a part of the weather.